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How do people know return rates

by: Curious    

Do houses with higher return rates really have to cut more pnm each round or just the earlier rounds. How do people know return rates if they aren’t published or are they just guessing?

Posted By: Curious
Page 1 of 1
#1by: Actives know   
#1    

Exact numbers for every house are only known by Panhel and maybe that gets shared to some in-house sisters. That being said, every house recruitment team knows what their cut numbers are each round. Houses that have to make heavy cuts due to higher return rates get the advantage of having less parties each round.

By: Actives know

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#2by: The Tell   
#2    

The houses with higher return rates cut more every round, all the way to pref, and their new member class numbers reflect that. While quota is the same for everyone, the quota additions are the tell. Some houses take a lot to pref and end up with the most quota additions, so their new member classes are much higher than quota. Houses that have the highest return rates end up with exactly the numbers for pref they need to make quota so they end up with no or few quota additions.

It's important to remember that each chapter's release numbers are percentage based and their hard numbers are determined as each round progresses, adjusting for how many pnm's stay in the process overall and how each chapter's return rate is tracking. Each chapter has a close idea of their hard release number when they submit their lists but their final cutoff number is up to the algorithm after each round concludes.

By: The Tell
by: ABC    

Are the numbers based off historical return rates for each round or current numbers. If a house typically has high return rates but for whatever reason doesn’t have a good year would they still have to release more before pref or sisterhood?

By: ABC
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#3by: tweaks   
#3    

Tweaks can be made as necessary, but chapters don't deviate THAT much from projections.

By: tweaks
by: Very true   

Quota is estimated within 15 PNM’s. Final preference numbers are based on those projections and girls are “ranked” on that bid list accordingly. Most houses allow flexibility in that second list (our house has a top bid list that doesn’t change much and that is about 100 PNM’s). The next 100 or so PNM’s are all great girls we would love to bid but have to rank to get to whatever quota is (138-146 usually). That’s what philanthropy and sisterhood and preference is mostly used for- to find out if our top girls are going to another house and to rank our crushes. ALL PNM’s taken to preference are on a sorority bid list- it just depends on where.

By: Very true
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